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Globalization, Secular Stagnation and Soft National Balances: A Pro-Equilibrium Manifesto

Leon Podkaminer

Acta Oeconomica, 2018, vol. 68, issue supplement1, 141-152

Abstract: It is argued that increased freedom to run economic activities combined with the growing impotence of national governments (i.e., globalization) have contributed to the secular growth slowdown at the global level. Fast globalisation-driven growth of international trade has unleashed the global race for economic surpluses. The process involves the suppression of wages and widening income inequalities – restricting aggregate demand globally. A “beggar-thy-neighbor” tactics of keeping large trade surpluses by countries successfully suppressing wages and domestic demand is likely to be unproductive. Overcoming the secular stagnation may not be possible without safeguarding equilibrium (or balance) in international transactions between major industrial countries – even if this may necessitate that in most (or all) of them the public sectors run large fiscal deficits permanently.

Keywords: economic growth; globalization; race to the bottom; imbalanced trade; fiscal deficits (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E62 F15 F63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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