Russia’s Dutch Syndrome
Boris Aronovich Kheyfets
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Boris Aronovich Kheyfets: Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Russian Foreign Economic Journal, 2023, issue 6, 92-97
Abstract:
The paper analyzes the trend of a significant strengthening of the Russian rouble in 2022 and similarities to the well-known Dutch disease. However, the causes of this trend are somewhat different, as in addition to high export earnings Russia’s financial isolation in the external and internal circuits played an important role resulting in plunging imports and the blocking of some channels for capital outflow. The analysis of the Russian variant of the Dutch disease that lasted less than 8 months concludes that the same scenario is unlikely to happen in the medium term.
Keywords: dutch disease; strengthening of the rouble; fi nancial isolation syndrome; trade balance; sanctions; capital outfl ow (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 F32 G18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:alq:rufejo:rfej_2023_06_92-97
DOI: 10.24412/2072-8042-2023-6-78-91
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