Developing a Classifier for the Foreign Trade Efficiency of Russia and China: Scientific and Methodological Aspects

Maria Alexandrovna Shapor and Roman Aleksandrovich Plaksii
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Maria Alexandrovna Shapor: Russian Academy of Sciences (ICSA RAS), Moscow, Russia
Roman Aleksandrovich Plaksii: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russia

Russian Foreign Economic Journal, 2026, issue 03, 34-42

Abstract: The article presents the Integrated Multilevel Trade Resilience Classifier (IMTRC) for assessing foreign trade efficiency under sanctions pressure. The methodology synthesizes economic resilience theory and global trade network analysis. The classifier includes five levels: structural adaptability, financial resilience, technological complexity, logistics efficiency, and institutional sustainability. A multiplicative model links the baseline component with a dynamic multiplier. The empirical testing of the tool was conducted using data from Russia and China for 2015–2024. Validation confirms a correlation with expert assessments atr = 0.891 and R? = 0.783.

Keywords: trade resilience; classifier; sanctions pressure; foreign trade; factor analysis; multiplicative model; economic resilience; comparative analysis; Russia; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:alq:rufejo:rfej_2026_03_34-42

DOI: 10.64545/2072-8042-2026-3-34-42

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