Using the Box-Jenkins Method to Forecast Sesame Exports in Sudan during the Period 1990-2028

Waraq Ali Waraq Nacer ()
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Waraq Ali Waraq Nacer: Emirates College (Sudan)

Management & Economics Research Journal, 2019, vol. 1, issue 4, 208-217

Abstract: This study uses the Box-Jenkins method to predict sesame exports in Sudan. After analysis discriminating via various statistical tests, it is found that AR MA (5,3,5) model is the best model to measure this phenomenon. This model was used to predict till 2028. The results indicate that the predicted values are less than the real values till 2001. Then the predicted value is bigger. The study recommended that the foreign economic relations and to search in how to apply it to help in the marketing of products.

Keywords: Box-Jenkins; Prediction; Sesame Exports; Sudan Economic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:alv:journl:v:1:y:2019:i:4:p:208-217

DOI: 10.48100/merj.v1i4.70

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