MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL): EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN
Altaf Hussain,
Ambar Khalil () and
Maryam Nawaz ()
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Ambar Khalil: Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
Maryam Nawaz: National College of Business Administration & Economics, Lahore, Multan Campus
Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2013, vol. 1, issue 2, 59-72
Abstract:
This analytical study investigates the determinants of non-performing loan in Pakistan. Secondary data is used in this study. The data is collected through World Bank Databank, international financial statistics and various issues of economic survey of Pakistan. The issue of Non-Performing Loan is one of the clusters of financial problems in Pakistan. No one can deny the importance of financial sector in any economy. In this study we find the macroeconomic factor that surge the NPL. We also suggest some strategies to cutback the non-performing loans. Current study uses the time series data of Pakistan, ranging from 1990 to 2013. Ordinary least square (OLS) method is used to investigate the problem. The dependent variable is non-performing loan and independent variables are exchange rate, interest rate, GDP, share prices, energy crisis, exchange rate and energy crisis. GDP has significant relationship with NPL and interest rate, share prices have insignificant relationships with NPL. A positive link has established between non-performing loans and various independent variables like energy crisis, exchange rate, interest rate, share prices. But on the other hand a negative relationship has been found between dependent variable and GDP.
Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Economics; Multiple Regression. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: B22 B26 C24 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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