Transmission Lags of Monetary Policy: Probing into Pakistan's Untamed Inflation

Muhammad Atiq-ur-Rehman (), Ismat Nasim (), Muhammad Ayub () and Ruqayya Ibraheem ()
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Muhammad Atiq-ur-Rehman: Assistant Professor, Higher Education Department & Adjunct Faculty at COMSATS University, Lahore, Pakistan
Ismat Nasim: Lecturer, Department of Economics, The Government Sadiq College Women University, Bahawalpur, Pakistan
Muhammad Ayub: Assistant Professor, School of Economics, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan
Ruqayya Ibraheem: PhD Scholar, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan

iRASD Journal of Economics, 2022, vol. 4, issue 2, 329-336

Abstract: Monetary policy has been frequently used by many developing countries including Pakistan to curb inflation and smoothen macroeconomic fluctuations. In the near past, it has been observed that monetary tightening has been futile in curbing inflation in many developing economies including Pakistan especially after COVID-19. There is always a time lag before the money supply affects price level or other macroeconomic variables. This study focuses on the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Pakistan by using monthly data on money supply and inflation for the period 2014:M01 to 2022:M05. After checking stationarity of the series, distributive lag model is estimated using least square method. It is found that there exists a sluggishness in the effectiveness of monetary policy in Pakistan and 4 to 5 months lag exists before the monetary policy exhibits its influence on inflation. It is also noticeable that the lag structure of monetary policy has been changed over time in Pakistan.

Keywords: Inflation; Money Supply; Lags in Monetary Policy; Pakistan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ani:irdjoe:v:4:y:2022:i:2:p:329-336

DOI: 10.52131/joe.2022.0402.0082

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