Comparison of Individual Pension System and Bank's Deposit System for Low-Risk Investors

Özcan Mutlu, Muhammed Ordu and Olcay Polat

Alphanumeric Journal, 2016, vol. 4, issue 2, 95-114

Abstract: The individual pension system (IPS) is an investment tool with regular payments that provides necessary savings for better live in retirement period. The demand for the IPS are substantially increased in recent years with the encouragements of the governments. In this study, revenues of bank’s deposit system (BDS) and IPS are compared for low-risk profile investors. For this reason, four scenarios are created and are evaluated for three different amounts of initial payment by using net present value and profitability index methods under both static and dynamic environments. Artificial neural networks and Monte-Carlo simulation approaches are used in creation of financial forecasts. As a result, while the BDS is more profitable for short-term investments, the IPS is clearly a more profitable investment for long-term investments in both static and dynamic environments.

Keywords: Artificial Neural Networks; Bank's Deposit System; Individual Pension System; Investment Evaluation; Monte Carlo Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C44 C45 C63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:anm:alpnmr:v:4:y:2016:i:2:p:95-114

DOI: 10.17093/aj.2016.4.2.5000191707

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