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Половозрастная структура населения Казахстана до 2050 года и ее потенциальное влияние на экономику страны // Gender and age structure of the population of Kazakhstan until 2050 and its potential impact on the country's economy

Konstantin Orlov ()

Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), 2017, issue 2, 31-49

Abstract: Демографический прогноз структуры населения страны имеет огромное значение в части оценки будущего предложения на рынке труда. В настоящей работе осуществлен вероятностный прогноз половозрастной структуры населения Казахстана до 2050 года с целью выявления возможных демографических особенностей, с которыми может столкнуться экономика страны в ближайшие 33 года. // The demographic forecast of the country's population structure is of great importance in assessing the future supply in the labor market. In this paper, a probabilistic forecast of the gender and age structure of the population of Kazakhstan until 2050 is carried out in order to identify possible demographic features that the country's economy may face in the next 33 years.

Keywords: демографический прогноз; рождаемость; смертность; демографическая нагрузка; demographic forecast; birth rate; mortality; demographic load (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J13 J21 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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