Функциональные прогнозы численности населения Казахстана до 2050 года // Functional forecasts of the population of Kazakhstan until 2050

Konstantin Orlov ()

Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), 2017, issue 3, 36-51

Abstract: Функциональные демографические прогнозы служат естественным продолжением и уточнением демографических прогнозов структуры населения страны в части предложения рабочей силы. В данной работе произведен прогноз уровня урбанизации населения Казахстана, а также половозрастной структуры экономически активного населения до 2050 года с целью выявления возможных особенностей рынка труда, которые будут оказывать влияние на экономику в ближайшие 30 лет. // Functional demographic forecasts serve as a natural extension and refinement of demographic forecasts of the country's population structure in terms of labor supply. In this paper, we forecast the level of urbanization of the population of Kazakhstan, as well as the gender and age structure of the economically active population until 2050, in order to identify possible features of the labor market that will affect the economy in the next 30 years.

Keywords: функциональный демографический прогноз; урбанизация; рабочая сила; functional demographic forecast; urbanization; labor force (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J21 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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