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Estimation of the Size of the Second Generation of Migrants in Russia and the West

Mariia A. Smirnova ()
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Mariia A. Smirnova: HSE University, Moscow, Russia

Population and Economics, 2025, vol. 9, issue 3, 148-172

Abstract: The article addresses the issue of statistical accounting for the population category known as second generation of migrants. Descendants of migrants constitute a significant portion of the population in many countries, often representing a group in a vulnerable socio-economic position. Integrating this category into national statistical systems enables direct estimates of second-generation migrant populations in several countries of the West. The study presents a critical analysis of the Russian demographic data sources, which lack specialized classifications for identifying second-generation migrants, thereby complicating reliable population estimates. As an alternative approach, this work employs cohort-component analysis to model the number of second-generation migrants born in Russia between 2001 and 2020. The model results indicate that this group is over 1 million individuals. The findings underscore the need to improve existing statistical methodologies in Russia. This article is the output of a research project implemented as a part of the Basic Research Program at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE University).

Keywords: descendants; of; migrants; statistical; category; migrants; in; the; Russian; Federation; migrants; from; CIS; countries; and; Georgia; current; birth; statistics; population; modelling; cohort-component; analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: N3 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arh:jpopec:v:9:y:2025:i:3:p:148-172

DOI: 10.3897/popecon.9.e135459

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