Examining the Threshold Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Monetary Policy Reaction Function of ASEAN-5: A Panel Threshold Approach

Lavaneesvari Manogaran* and Siok Kun Sek
Additional contact information
Lavaneesvari Manogaran*: School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia (Lavaneesvari Manogaran), Malaysia
Siok Kun Sek: School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia (Siok Kun Sek), Malaysia

The Journal of Social Sciences Research, 2018, 243-248 Special Issue: 2

Abstract: In small open economies, the connection between exchange rate and monetary policy function is well-recognised either in the form of theoretical concept or empirical literature. Unlike others, this paper revisits the study by utilising the panel threshold approach of Hansen (1999) to investigate how the monetary policy function of ASEAN-5 responding to exchange rate changes in two different policy regimes, pre-crisis (1980Q1-1996Q4) and post-crisis (1999Q1-2015Q4). The results exhibit asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes on monetary policy function in both sub-periods. The double threshold effect in the pre-crisis, showing exchange rate changes influencing the policy function in a limited threshold value. Conversely, in the post-crisis, the single threshold effect illustrating exchange rate changes having stronger effect on the policy function in various magnitudes at all threshold values. Although claiming the execution of flexible exchange rate system aftermath crisis, there exist policymakers’ intervention in stabilising the exchange rate changes with respect to ‘fear of floating’ behaviour in ASEAN-5. Lastly, in each sub-period, the threshold effect of exchange rate changes relative to inflation variation is highly significant while trivial to output gap in triggering the policy function. This witnessing, by and large, the ultimate goal of ASEAN-5 is to achieve price stability.

Keywords: Panel threshold; Asymmetric effect; Fear of floating. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.arpgweb.com/pdf-files/spi2.73.243-248.pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.arpgweb.com/journal/7/special_issue/11-2018/2/4 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arp:tjssrr:2018:p:243-248

Access Statistics for this article

The Journal of Social Sciences Research is currently edited by Dr. Paola Magnano

More articles in The Journal of Social Sciences Research from Academic Research Publishing Group Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Punjab, Pakistan.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Managing Editor ().