A Multivariate Causality Analysis of Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption in Turkey

Halil Altıntaş and Kassouri Yacouba

Energy Economics Letters, 2017, vol. 4, issue 2, 9-19

Abstract: This study uses time series data to examine the long-run and short-run effects of electricity consumption, real GDP per capita, exports and financial development in Turkey between 1970-2011. The study adopted structural break unit root test, ARDL bounds tests methods to test cointegration to achieve robust results. Inter-variable causal relationships were determined using the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) framework. The findings were that electricity consumption, financial development and exports are cointegrated in the long run. Following this development, financial development was found to create a significant increase in both economic growth and electricity consumption in Turkey. The findings were that electricity consumption positively impacts on the economic growth in addition to the fact that bidirectional causality between economic growth and electricity consumption were established. These results also support that, feedback hypothesis is confirmed in Turkey.

Keywords: Economic growth; Electricity consumption; Financial development; Exports time series; ARDL. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:asi:eneclt:v:4:y:2017:i:2:p:9-19:id:158

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