The Real Exchange Rate as a Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Economy of Iran: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (in Persian)
Sara Shahraki (),
Ahmad Sabahi (),
Mohammad Hossein Mahdavi Adeli () and
Mostafa Salimifar ()
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Sara Shahraki: ferdowsi university of mashhad
Ahmad Sabahi: ferdowsi university of mashhad
Mohammad Hossein Mahdavi Adeli: ferdowsi university of mashhad
Mostafa Salimifar: ferdowsi university of mashhad
The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (٠صلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), 2016, vol. 20, issue 4, 71-106
Abstract:
This paper examines whether in the analysis of the impact of monetary policy, the exchange rate can play a role along with the interest rate as a transmission mechanism of monetary policy effects on economic variables or not? For this purpose, the general dynamic stochastic equilibrium models were used in the form of a New Keynesian small open macro-economy; accordingly, in this study, the Bayesian approach has been implemented to obtain the estimates of parameters and conclusion in this model. To this end, Dynare was used, which is a general and suitable tool for Bayesian estimation in the context of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. This model was designed for the economy of Iran, considering oil-based economies and the currency substitution existence. Then, its calibration and simulation were conducted with Iran's economic data for the period 1995-2011. The results from model validation, univariate and multivariate recognition of Markov Monte Carlo chain and analysis of the model impulse responses show that in Iran's economy, the exchange rate plays a role along with the interest rate as a monetary transmission mechanism.
Keywords: Small Open Macroeconomic; New Keynesian; Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model; Exchange Rate; Transmission Mechanism. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:auv:jipbud:v:20:y:2016:i:4:p:71-106
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