PREDICTING NPLs FOR CROATIA WITH MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES

Mile Bošnjak, Jurica Vukas () and Ivan Sverko ()
Additional contact information
Jurica Vukas: Croatian National Bank
Ivan Sverko: Eurizon Asset Management Croatia d.o.o.

Economic Thought and Practice, 2021, vol. 30, issue 2, 571-586

Abstract: This paper aims to examine some of the macroeconomic drivers of nonperforming loans (NPL) in Croatia. Unemployment rate, industrial production index, construction works volume and the number of tourist arrivals were evaluated as the drivers on a quarterly data sample from 2008q4 to 2020q4. Following quantile regression approach, unemployment rates and construction works volume appeared as significant drivers of NPL in Croatia. Furthermore, empirical findings from this paper suggest asymmetric effects on NPL from its drivers. While decrease in construction works volume and increase in unemployment rates were found to correspond with increase in NPL, an increase in construction works volume and decrease in unemployment rates were not correlated with decrease in NPL. Consequently, the paper brings implications for credit institutions in Croatia within the context of COVID-19 pandemic crises.

Keywords: asset quality; macroeconomic determinants; coronavirus crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G31 G33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/387851 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:avo:emipdu:v:30:y:2021:i:2:p:571-586

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Economic Thought and Practice, University of Dubrovnik, Branitelja Dubrovnika 29, 20000 Dubrovnik
https://emip.unidu.hr/

DOI: 10.17818/EMIP/2021/2.13

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Thought and Practice is currently edited by Nebojsa Stojcic

More articles in Economic Thought and Practice from Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Nebojsa Stojcic ().