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Combining non-constant weights with historical simulation VaR

Riccardo Rebonato and Vasant Shanbhogue

Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 2010, vol. 3, issue 4, 392-404

Abstract: This paper shows how the historical simulation method can be extended to deal with a time series that displays different importance weights. The method is shown to be particularly useful in dealing with seasonality. It builds on the work by Hull and White (1998) about volatility rescaling, and it demonstrates some subtle points that arise in the presence of non-constant weights across time series.

Keywords: value-at-risk; historical simulation; weights; commodities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E5 G2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aza:rmfi00:y:2010:v:3:i:4:p:392-404

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