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On the definition of risk

Filipe Lemos
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Filipe Lemos: Risk Manager, Risk Management, BNI Europa

Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 2020, vol. 13, issue 3, 266-278

Abstract: This paper aims to build, through the collection of inputs from prior research, regulatory input and practitioner’s experience, a comprehensive definition of risk. Risk is not measurable uncertainty or volatility. Risk is a three-part concept: (1) risk is the potential that events may have an unexpected and noteworthy impact on results, ie a consequence of exposure while pursuing objectives in an uncertain environment; (2) risk is ontological uncertainty, the unknown unknown; and (3) risk is the perception of expected utility, as how risk is individually perceived and socially amplified influences its experience and subsequent effects. So, the challenge is to deal with risk by understanding the impossibility of predicting the future. One should learn from the past but simultaneously accept that not all past lessons address every issue coming our way.

Keywords: risk; uncertainty; exposure; probabilities; normal distribution; black swan; complexity theory; perception; amplification (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E5 G2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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