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Inflation expectations and Real Return Bonds

Agathe Côté, Jocelyn Jacob, John Nelmes and Miles Whittingham
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Miles Whittingham: Bank of Canada, https://www.bankofcanada.ca/

Bank of Canada Review, 1996, vol. 1996, issue Summer, 41-53

Abstract: The existence of a market for Real Return Bonds in Canada provides a direct tool with which to measure market expectations of inflation by comparing the yields on these bonds with those on conventional Government of Canada long-term bonds. However, there are other factors besides inflation expectations that may affect the yield differential. After reviewing these factors, the authors note that they can lead to a potentially large bias in the level of inflation expectations. The changes in the differential over time may, nonetheless, be a good indicator of movements in long-run inflation expectations. Based on this measure, expectations of long-run inflation have declined since late 1994.

JEL-codes: E43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1996
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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