Perceptions of Socio-economic variables and its influence on fertility in Egypt

MostafaSayed Mostafa Abd – El Hameed El Misery
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MostafaSayed Mostafa Abd – El Hameed El Misery: Assistant professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt

International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 2023, vol. 7, issue 3, 36-43

Abstract: Beginning in 2008, Egypt’s overall fertility rate rose, reaching a peak of 3.5 births per woman in 2014. (Health and Population Ministry et al). Since higher levels of education are associated with lower reproduction, education is also crucial in determining women’s empowerment. However, there are no studies that explore this avenue and show how education and reproduction are related in specific Middle Eastern contexts. In Egypt, both the duration of attendance at school and the age at first birth have increased dramatically. In our study, we present empirical proof of the two processes’ endogeneity. We use data from the 2012 round of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS-2012), a sample of Egyptian families that is nationally representative, for 4,336 married women between the ages of 15 and 49. Both education and the event of birth are covered in detail by the survey. Simultaneous risk modelling was used to reduce the impact of unobservable traits that have an impact on both processes at once. One the one hand, leaving the school system raises the possibility of joining the first union. The simultaneous occurrence of both processes is also influenced by unobserved individual traits. The effect of the finished education on the union’s formation becomes slanted upward if these qualities are not controlled.

Date: 2023
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