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Testing the Rational-Expectations Hypothesis: Further Evidence

Alok Bohara

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1991, vol. 9, issue 3, 337-40

Abstract: This article tests the macro rational-expectations hypotheses of rationality and neutrality for quarterly U.S. data. The vector autoregressive representation is derived, and the implied interequation nonlinear restrictions are tested using the Wald statistic. Despite several modifications adopted here, the results confirm the robustness of earlier findings--that is, the test results support rationality, but not neutrality.

Date: 1991
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