Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

1970 - 2025

From Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution
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Editors' Summary pp. vii-xii: The Editors
The Increase in Income Cyclicality of High-Income Households and Its Relation to the Rise in Top Income Shares pp. 1-70: Jonathan Parker and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
The State of Social Safety Net in the Post-Welfare Reform Era pp. 71-147: Marianne Bitler and Hilary Hoynes
The Impact of No Child Left Behind on Students, Teachers, and Schools pp. 149-207: Thomas Dee and Brian A. Jacob
How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers? pp. 209-259: Rochelle M. Edge and Refet Gürkaynak
Regulating the Shadow Banking System pp. 261-312: Gary Gorton and Andrew Metrick
State Fiscal Policies and Transitory Income Fluctuations pp. 313-350: James Hines

Editors' Summary pp. vii-xiii: The Editors
The Labor Market in the Great Recession pp. 1-69: Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin
The Income- and Expenditure-Side Estimates of U.S. Output Growth pp. 71-127: Jeremy J. Nalewaik
The Rug Rat Race pp. 129-199: Garey Ramey and Valerie Ramey
The Crisis pp. 201-261: Alan Greenspan
The Initial Impact of the Crisis on Emerging Market Countries pp. 263-323: Olivier Blanchard, Mitali Das and Hamid Faruqee
Geographic Variation in Health Care: The Role of Private Markets pp. 325-361: Tomas Philipson, Seth Seabury, Lee Lockwood, Dana Goldman and Darius Lakdawalla

Editors' Summary pp. vii-xii: The Editors
Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound pp. 1-49: John Williams
The Age of Reason: Financial Decisions over the Life Cycle and Implications for Regulation pp. 51-117: Sumit Agarwal, John Driscoll, Xavier Gabaix and David Laibson
Interpreting the Unconventional U.S. Monetary Policy of 2007-09 pp. 119-182: Ricardo Reis
By How Much Does GDP Rise If the Government Buys More Output? pp. 183-249: Robert Hall
When the North Last Headed South: Revisiting the 1930s pp. 251-276: Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart

Editors' Summary pp. vii-xi: The Editors
The Financial Crisis: An Inside View pp. 1-78: Phillip Swagel
Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets pp. 79-138: John Campbell, Robert Shiller and Luis Viceira
Do Tax Cuts Starve the Beast? The Effect of Tax Changes on Government Spending pp. 139-214: Christina Romer and David Romer
Causes and Consequences of the Oil Shock of 2007-08 pp. 215-283: James Hamilton
Why Doesn't Capitalism Flow to Poor Countries? pp. 285-332: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch

Editors' Summary pp. vii-xi: The Editors
Financial Crash, Commody Prices, and Global Inbalances pp. 1-68: Ricardo Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Making Sense of the Subprime Crisis pp. 69-159: Kristopher Gerardi, Andreas Lehnert, Shane Sherlund and Paul Willen
The Central Role of Home Prices in the Current Financial Crisis: How Will the Market Clear? pp. 161-193: Karl Case
Beyond Leveraged Losses: The Balance Sheet Effects of the Home Price Downturn pp. 195-227: Jan Hatzius
Financial Regulation in a System Context pp. 229-274: Stephen Morris and Hyun Song Shin
The Unofficial Economy and Economic Development pp. 275-363: Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer
The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth pp. 365-439: Dani Rodrik

Editors' Summary pp. vii-xii: The Editors
Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox pp. 1-102: Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Trade and Wages, Reconsidered pp. 103-154: Paul Krugman
The Economics of Place-Making Policies pp. 155-253: Edward L. Glaeser and Joshua Gottlieb
Macroeconomic Crises since 1870 pp. 255-350: Robert Barro and Jose F. Ursua
When Does Policy Reform Work? The Case of Central Bank Independence pp. 351-429: Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Pablo Querubin and James Robinson
Earning from History? Financial Markets and the Approach of World Wars pp. 431-490: Niall Ferguson

Editors' Summary pp. ix-xvi: The Editors
A Tribute to George Perry and William Brainard pp. 1-6: Robert Gordon
In Honor of William Brainard and George Perry pp. 7-12: Robert Hall
How Much Do We Understand about the Modern Recession? pp. 13-30: Robert Hall
Unfinished Business in the Macroeconomics of Low Inflation: A Tribute to George and Bill by Bill and George pp. 31-48: George Akerlof and William T. Dickens
What We Still Don't Know about Monetary and Fiscal Policy pp. 49-74: Benjamin M. Friedman
Monetary Policy Models pp. 75-90: Christopher Sims
Living with Global Imbalances pp. 91-110: Richard N. Cooper
Low Interest Rates and High Asset Prices: An Interpretation in Terms of Changing Popular Economic Models pp. 111-134: Robert Shiller
Long-Run Changes in the Wage Structure: Narrowing, Widening, Polarizing pp. 135-168: Claudia Goldin and Lawrence Katz
Selected Issues in the Rise of Income Inequality pp. 169-192: Robert Gordon and Ian Dew-Becker
Are We Having More Fun Yet? Categorizing and Evaluating Changes in Time Alloction pp. 193-218: Alan Krueger
Who's Afraid of a Big Bad Oil Shock? pp. 219-240: William Nordhaus

Editors' Summary pp. ix-xliv: The Editors
International Reserves in Emerging Market Countries: Too Much of a Good Thing? pp. 1-80: Olivier Jeanne
Explaining a Productive Decade pp. 81-152: Stephen Oliner, Daniel Sichel and Kevin Stiroh
Foreign Capital and Economic Growth pp. 153-230: Eswar Prasad, Raghuram Rajan and Arvind Subramanian
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption pp. 231-292: Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel and Jeffrey Wurgler
Cracking the Conundrum pp. 293-329: David Backus and Jonathan Wright