The Relationship Between Gold Prices and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Emerging Economies

Dr K Lakshmana Rao, Madem Kishore, Dr KANDULA Anjaneyulu, Dr Katadi Hari Kishan and Dr Svgva Prasad
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Dr K Lakshmana Rao: Lecturer in Commerce – Pithapur Rajah’s Government College (A) Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh-533001, India.
Madem Kishore: Lecturer in Commerce – S.G.A., Government Degree College (A),Yellamanchili, Anakapalli District - Andhra Pradesh
Dr KANDULA Anjaneyulu: Lecturer in Commerce – Pithapur Rajah’s Government College (A) Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh-533001, India
Dr Katadi Hari Kishan: Lecturer in Commerce – Pithapur Rajah’s Government College (A) Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh-533001, India.
Dr Svgva Prasad: Lecturer in Commerce – Pithapur Rajah’s Government College (A) Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh-533001, India.

International Journal of Latest Technology in Engineering, Management & Applied Science, 2025, vol. 14, issue 4, 146-150

Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between gold prices and stock market performance in India and other emerging markets (Brazil, China, South Africa), focusing on gold’s role as a safe-haven asset during economic crises. Employing a mixed-methods approach, we combine quantitative time-series analysis (2000–2025) with qualitative insights from investor surveys. Econometric models, including Vector Autoregression (VAR), Granger Causality tests, and predictive machine learning models, were applied to examine interdependencies between stock market indices (e.g., BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty 50, and international indices) and gold prices. The study also explores the impact of digital gold investments, technological advancements, and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, currency fluctuations, geopolitical events) on traditional gold investment behaviours. Findings confirm gold’s role as a hedge during financial crises (e.g., 2008 global financial crisis, COVID-19 pandemic), though its effectiveness varies across markets and conditions. Predictive models offer practical tools for forecasting gold price movements, benefiting investors and policymakers in volatile markets.

Date: 2025
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