Development of a Mathematical Model to Analyze the Impact of Fuel Subsidy on Rice Production in Niger State, Nigeria

A. A. Yahaya, S.A. Hassan, A. M. Usman, I. Mohammed and E Yisa
Additional contact information
A. A. Yahaya: Department of Mathematics, Federal Polytechnic Bida, Niger State Nigeria
S.A. Hassan: Department of Mathematics, Federal Polytechnic Bida, Niger State Nigeria
A. M. Usman: Department of Mathematics, Federal Polytechnic Bida, Niger State Nigeria
I. Mohammed: Department of Mathematics, Federal Polytechnic Bida, Niger State Nigeria
E Yisa: Department of General Studies, Niger State College of Agriculture Mokwa, Niger State Nigeria

International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science, 2025, vol. 10, issue 1, 145-151

Abstract: This study develops a mathematical model to evaluate the impact of fuel subsidy policies on rice production in Niger State, Nigeria. Agriculture is crucial to Nigeria’s economy, and rice is a staple food and source of livelihood for farmers. However, fluctuating fuel costs and evolving subsidy programs affect agricultural productivity. Using linear regression techniques, this study analyzes the relationship between fuel subsidy policies and rice production levels. Key variables include fuel price, rice price, and transportation costs. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) enables a robust simulation of policy effects. The model’s performance is assessed using R-square, Mean Square Error (MSE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Results indicate that approximately 59.8% of the variance in rice production can be explained by the independent variables. The findings highlight the critical role of fuel subsidies in shaping agricultural outcomes, particularly in resource constrained farming communities. This study underscores the need for evidence-based policy decisions to balance subsidy allocation with sustainable agricultural growth.

Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrias/ ... -issue-1/145-151.pdf (application/pdf)
https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrias/arti ... niger-state-nigeria/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bjf:journl:v:10:y:2025:i:1:p:145-151

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science is currently edited by Dr. Renu Malsaria

More articles in International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science from International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science (IJRIAS)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dr. Renu Malsaria ().