ARIMA Analysis of Nepalese Foreign Labor Employment

Yadav Mani Upadhyaya and Khom Raj Kharel
Additional contact information
Yadav Mani Upadhyaya: Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu (Nepal)
Khom Raj Kharel: Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu (Nepal)

IJEP, 2025, vol. 8, issue 02, Pages : 15-30

Abstract: This research seeks to evaluate the employment of foreign workers in Nepal today and their contribution to the economy. Using the ARIMA forecasting model, the research foresees patterns of Nepalese foreign labor migration in the future. The findings show the labor migration statistics from 1995 to projections after 2030, showing a trend of continuous increase with a significant rise projected to happen post-2020. In the study, both AR and MR remain unchanged, as desired for successful prediction. The analysis identifies that the expected growth in foreign labor migration will have major consequences for Nepal's society, economy, and policy-making process, which will in turn affect employment trends, remittance inflow, and infrastructure needs.

Keywords: Foreign labor employment; Nepal economy; remittances; ARIMA forecasting; ARDL model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ijep.dz/index.php/IJEP/article/view/374 Abstract page (text/html)
https://ijep.dz/index.php/IJEP/article/download/374/347 Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bjm:ijep00:v:8:y:2025:i:02:id:374

DOI: 10.54241/2065-008-002-002

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in IJEP from ALPEC The performance of Algerian economic institutions in light of international economic mobility , Boumerdes University
Bibliographic data for series maintained by BOUZID Ahmed ().