A timing momentum strategy

Chaonan Lin, Nien‐Tzu Yang, Robin K. Chou and Kuan‐Cheng Ko

Accounting and Finance, 2022, vol. 62, issue S1, 1339-1379

Abstract: We propose a timing momentum strategy by incorporating moving‐average signals in the price momentum and show that the proposed strategy substantially outperforms the buy‐and‐hold strategy. The performance of the timing momentum is better than that of Barroso and Santa‐Clara’s (2015) constant‐volatility momentum and is identical to that of Daniel and Moskowitz’s (2016) dynamic momentum. One advantage of the timing momentum is that its weights on winner and loser portfolios are lower than the other two strategies, thus leading to lower transaction costs. Further, we show that the profitability of the timing momentum is enhanced when information uncertainty is high. More importantly, the timing momentum has time‐invariant profitability across various time‐series predictors and during periods of momentum crashes.

Date: 2022
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