 Applying cointegration and error correction to measure trade linkages: maize prices in the United States and MexicoMesbah Motamed (), Kenneth Foster and Wallace Tyner Agricultural Economics, 2008, vol. 39, issue 1, 29-39 Abstract: The impact of U.S.‐grown maize on Mexican markets is a subject of heated debate, and is complicated by limited substitution between white and yellow maize as well as regional price differences within Mexico. This article improves on previous analyses using a detailed data set of white maize prices reported weekly in 11 states across Mexico from 1998 through 2005. Using cointegration analysis and the error‐correction model, we find that prices between the United States and Mexico do not share a common long‐run relationship. Within Mexico, prices in Michoacán and Oaxaca are only weakly related with prices in neighboring states, whereas prices in Sinaloa and Jalisco exert considerable influence on prices elsewhere in Mexico. We conclude that, despite North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), white maize prices in Mexico are determined by local conditions including particularly the degree of integration to other regions within Mexico. Date: 2008 Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:agecon:v:39:y:2008:i:1:p:29-39 Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from Access Statistics for this article Agricultural Economics is currently edited by W.A. Masters and G.E. Shively More articles in Agricultural Economics from International Association of Agricultural Economists Contact information at EDIRC. |
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