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High-Frequency Contagion of Currency Crises in Asia *

Takatoshi Ito () and Yuko Hashimoto

Asian Economic Journal, 2005, vol. 19, issue 4, 357-381

Abstract: Using daily data from the Asian currency crisis, the present paper examines high-frequency contagion effects among six Asian countries. The 'origin' (of exchange rate depreciation, or decline in stock prices) and the 'affected' (currencies, or stock prices) in the daily spillover relationship were defined and identified. Indonesia is found to be the main origin country, affecting exchange rates of other countries. Contrary to conventional wisdom, evidence of high-frequency crisis spillover from the Thai exchange rate to other currencies was weak at best. There exists a high-frequency contagion in stock markets among East Asian countries. Contagion coefficients are positively correlated with trade indices, indicating that investors lower their financial assessment of a country that has trade linkage to a crisis origin country within days, if not hours, of a shock. Copyright 2005 East Asian Economic Association.

Date: 2005
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