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Australian Capital Inflow, Sectional Prices and the Terms of Trade: 1870-1939

David H Pope

Australian Economic Papers, 1986, vol. 25, issue 46, 67-82

Abstract: The paper examines the role of "traded" and "domestic" goods prices in international capital transfers. Difficulties of measurement and conceptualization are discussed, and the causal relations between capital flows to Australia, Australia's terms of trade and "domestic prices" are investigated over the years 1870-1939 using Sargent's_(1976) dynamic regression test of Granger_(1969) causality. The results suggest: that capital inflow proceeded without causing the terms of trade of the importer to change; that the ratio of "domestic" to "traded" goods prices rose, helping to effect the capital transfer; and that "domestic" prices positively fedback on capital inflow. Copyright 1986 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd/University of Adelaide and Flinders University of South Australia

Date: 1986
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