The Term Structure of Interest Rates in the UK

Ronald MacDonald and Alan E H Speight

Bulletin of Economic Research, 1988, vol. 40, issue 4, 287-99

Abstract: This paper presents new tests of the efficient markets view of the interest rate term structure utilizing recently developed cointegration methodology in a bivariate autoregressive system consisting of the "spread" between long and short interest rates and the change in the Treasury Bill rate. The efficient markets restrictions on the bivariate autoregressive system are supported by U.K. data from 1963:1 to 1987:1. Further support is obtained from som e simple Granger-causality tests. However, volatility statistics give rather mixed results. On balance, the authors' findings suggest a risk-adjusted expectations approach to the term structure. Copyright 1988 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Board of Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research

Date: 1988
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:40:y:1988:i:4:p:287-99

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=0307-3378

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Bulletin of Economic Research from Wiley Blackwell
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().