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Using Futures Instrument Prices to Target Nominal Income

Scott Sumner

Bulletin of Economic Research, 1989, vol. 41, issue 2, 157-62

Abstract: Nominal GDP targeting offers the advantage of allowing monetary policymakers to offset velocity shocks and cushion the impact of autonomous price shocks. Instability associated with the recognition lag can be minimized by fixing a futures instrument price linked to nominal GNP. In fact, if financial markets are efficient, then a policy of fixing futures instrument prices would seem preferable to a policy feedback mechanism for any economic aggregate target that involves a recognition lag. This conclusion is robust with respect to a wide range of macroeconomic models. Copyright 1989 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Board of Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research

Date: 1989
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