On the Causality between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices: A Note

Abdulnasser Hatemi-J and Manuchehr Irandoust

Bulletin of Economic Research, 2002, vol. 54, issue 2, 197-203

Abstract: This study uses a new Granger non-causality testing procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to contribute to the debate on exchange rates and stock prices in Sweden. It examines a possible causal relation between these variables in a vector autoregression (VAR) model. The results show that Granger causality is unidirectional running from stock prices to effective exchange rates. The results also reveal that an increase in Swedish stock prices is associated with an appreciation of the Swedish krona. Special attention is given to the estimation methodology and the lag choosing process. Copyright 2002 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Board of Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research

Date: 2002
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