LOWER OIL PRICES AND STATE EMPLOYMENT

Stephen Brown and John K. Hill

Contemporary Economic Policy, 1988, vol. 6, issue 3, 60-68

Abstract: Even after two years of adjustment, it was apparent that the sharp drop in oil prices occurring during late 1985 and early 1986 would have a profound effect on the regional distribution of employment in the United States. In this paper, we develop and implement a procedure for quantifying the long‐term consequences of lower oil prices on employment in each of the 50 states. We use the estimates developed to determine how much of the variation in state employment growth during 1986 can be attributed to the oil price decline. We also use the estimates to gauge the feasibility of political action, such as an oil import tariff, to reverse the oil price decline.

Date: 1988
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.1988.tb00293.x

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Working Paper: Lower oil prices and state employment (1987)
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