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IN-SEASON HEAD-COACH DISMISSALS AND THE PERFORMANCE OF PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL TEAMS

Jan van Ours and Martin A. van Tuijl

Economic Inquiry, 2016, vol. 54, issue 1, 591-604

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="ecin12280-abs-0001"> This paper studies the causes and consequences of in-season changes of the head-coach of association football teams. We exploit data from the highest level of Dutch professional football during 14 successive seasons. An in-season change of the head-coach depends on recent match results and the difference between actual results and expectations as measured using bookmaker data. We find that, after the head-coach has been replaced, teams perform better than before. However, the performance is also better than before for a control group of coach replacements that did not occur. From this we conclude that replacement of head-coaches does not improve team performance. (JEL J44, L83)

Date: 2016
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Working Paper: In-Season Head-Coach Dismissals and the Performance of Professional Football Teams (2014) Downloads
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