Firms' margins of adjustment to wage growth: the case of Italian collective bargaining

Francesco Devicienti () and Bernardo Fanfani

Economica, 2025, vol. 92, issue 365, 107-149

Abstract: This study analyses firms' adjustment behaviour when facing higher labour costs. The empirical research design considers several outcomes, and exploits, as a source of variation in labour costs, discontinuities in the growth of contractual wages set by Italian collective bargaining institutions. The results indicate that adjustment channels are highly heterogeneous across the firms' productivity distribution. Employment, revenue, productivity and the profit margin are negatively related to contractual wage growth among relatively less efficient companies. Instead, most efficient firms do not downsize, they substitute high‐ with low‐wage workers while preserving their productivity, and they may even increase (or at least keep constant) their profitability. We conclude that more efficient companies, which adjust through cost‐saving and labour‐hoarding strategies, may benefit from cleansing effects, as their product market shares increase when costs of more constrained rivals are raised.

Date: 2025
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https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12558

Related works:
Working Paper: Firms' Margins of Adjustment to Wage Growth. The Case of Italian Collective Bargaining (2021)
Working Paper: Firms' Margins of Adjustment to Wage Growth: The Case of Italian Collective Bargaining (2021)
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