Growth and Election Outcomes in a Developing Country

Poonam Gupta and Arvind Panagariya

Economics and Politics, 2014, vol. 26, issue 2, 332-354

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="ecpo12038-abs-0001">

We offer the first test of the hypothesis that rapid growth helps incumbents win elections for a developing country, India. We generalize the Fair (1978) model to allow for multiple candidates and test it using cross-state data on 422 candidates in the 2009 parliamentary elections. We find quantitatively large and statistically robust effect of growth on the prospects of the candidates of the state incumbent parties to win elections.

Date: 2014
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Related works:
Working Paper: Growth and Election Outcomes in a Developing Country (2011)
Working Paper: Growth and Election Outcomes in a Developing Country (2011)
Working Paper: Growth and election outcomes in a developing country (2011)
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