HOW LONG DO CONGRESSMEN STAY IN OFFICE?*

W. Reed () and D. Eric Schansberg

Economics and Politics, 1990, vol. 2, issue 2, 173-191

Abstract: This paper develops a methodology for calculating the expected completed lengths of U.S. congressmen's stays in office. In addition, it demonstrates how this methodology can be used to forecast the seniority structure of future Congresses. One of the major empirical findings of this paper is that it demonstrates the deficiencies of using “mean term” to make inferences about the expected length of congressmen's stays.

Date: 1990
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