Modelling the Role of Government Policy in Post‐War Australian Immigration

Allen C. Kelley and Robert M. Schmidt

The Economic Record, 1979, vol. 55, issue 2, 127-135

Abstract: The authors develop and estimate a model of post‐war Australian migration which highlights an endogenous treatment of government policy and includes three equations explaining the emigration rate, the Government's Immigration Programme rate, and the immigration rate. The model permits the separate identification of long‐run population growth influences vis‐à‐vis short‐run economic considerations in explaining migration. Short‐run labour market conditions are found to be more important in explaining government behaviour than are long‐run population considerations. Immigrant behaviour appears to be affected by both short‐run and long‐run influences. Very little unexplained variation remains in the estimated regressions.

Date: 1979
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1979.tb02212.x

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