Real Rates of Return in Electricity Supply: New South Wales, Tasmania and Victoria
Peter Swan
The Economic Record, 1990, vol. 66, issue 2, 93-109
Abstract:
This paper uses a newly developed economic return model to estimate the real (inflation adjusted) costs of supply, and rates of return, for the electricity systems in three States over very long time periods. It is shown that because of a combination of public ownership and the use of historical cost accounts, the real return on capital tends to fall with the onset of rapid inflation such as occurred in the mid 1970s In NSW in particular the rapid growth in demand for electricity in the 1970s due to falling real electricity prices and considerable increases in other energy prices has given rise to a major investment program and rapidly developing excess capacity. Higher real electricity prices in the 1980s, combined with the economic slump of 1982, resulted in low or negative growth rates in demand Much of the boom I bust mentality evident in all three States may have been avoided or ameliorated had the electrical supply authorities been required to earn even a very modest real rate of return of (say) 4 or more per cent p.a. which is considerably below the (pre‐tax) return earned in the corporate sector.
Date: 1990
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1990.tb01711.x
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:66:y:1990:i:2:p:93-109
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