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Is Housing Activity a Leading Indicator?

Jammie H. Penm and R.D. Terrell

The Economic Record, 1994, vol. 70, issue 210, 241-252

Abstract: We investigate whether housing activity is a leading indicator of general activity using two dynamic systems. In the national account system, the results indicate that dwelling investment contains leading information for gross national expenditure. In a five‐variable system including a measure of economic activity, housing activity, money, prices and a short‐term interest rate, housing activity is found to provide an important linkage between economic activity and the rest of the system. These results consistently affirm that housing activity is a leading indicator of general economic activity.

Date: 1994
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1994.tb01844.x

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:70:y:1994:i:210:p:241-252

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