Tweets and Trades: the Information Content of Stock Microblogs

Timm O. Sprenger, Andranik Tumasjan, Philipp G. Sandner and Isabell M. Welpe

European Financial Management, 2014, vol. 20, issue 5, 926-957

Abstract: Microblogging forums (e.g., Twitter) have become a vibrant online platform for exchanging stock†related information. Using methods from computational linguistics, we analyse roughly 250,000 stock†related messages (so†called tweets) on a daily basis. We find an association between tweet sentiment and stock returns, message volume and trading volume, as well as disagreement and volatility. In contrast to previous related research, we also analyse the mechanism leading to an efficient aggregation of information in microblogging forums. Our results demonstrate that users providing above average investment advice are retweeted (i.e., quoted) more often and have more followers, which amplifies their share of voice.

Date: 2014
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