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Shedding light on a dark matter: Jump diffusion and option‐implied investor preferences

Hamed Ghanbari, Michael Oancea and Stylianos Perrakis ()

European Financial Management, 2021, vol. 27, issue 2, 244-286

Abstract: We compare equilibrium jump diffusion option prices with endogenously determined stochastic dominance (SD) option bounds. We use model parameters from earlier studies and find that most equilibrium model prices consistent with SD bounds yield economically meaningless results. Further, the implied distributions of the SD bounds exhibit a tail risk comparable to that of the underlying return data, thus shedding light on the dark matter of the inconsistency of physical and risk‐neutral tail probabilities. Since the SD bound assumptions are weaker, we conclude that these bounds should either replace or be used to verify the equilibrium model results.

Date: 2021
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https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12276

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