Persistence and Market Timing Ability of Cryptocurrency Funds

Thomas Conlon, Diego Víctor De Mingo‐López and Andrew Urquhart

Financial Management, 2025, vol. 54, issue 4, 791-816

Abstract: Growth in cryptocurrency funds has followed the wider expansion of the cryptocurrency sector. In this paper, we study the performance persistence and market timing ability of cryptocurrency fund managers. We show that cryptocurrency funds produce remarkable levels of abnormal returns. Moreover, sorting by previous alpha provides compelling evidence of persistence in abnormal returns. Funds with previous excess abnormal returns have high ex post abnormal returns, while cryptocurrency factors explain only a small proportion of the variation in these returns. An ex post outperformance among funds displaying ex ante market timing skills is found, while these ex post abnormal returns can, in turn, be attributed to managerial timing abilities.

Date: 2025
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