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Index Options-Futures Arbitrage: A Comparative Study with Bid/Ask and Transaction Data

Joseph K W Fung and Henry M K Mok

The Financial Review, 2001, vol. 36, issue 1, 71-94

Abstract: We can infer from bid/ask quotations and transaction prices that where options contracts are traded under a competitive open-outcry market-making system, the options and futures markets are dynamically efficient. Ex-ante analysis shows that potential arbitrage opportunities disappear within five minutes. Transaction price data understate both the frequency and magnitude of arbitrage opportunities that are signaled by bid/ask quotes. Quotes stale fast, so opportunities are short-lived and some of the arbitrage opportunities are deceptive. Nonetheless, the evidence suggests that bid/ask quotes provide valuable trading signals to arbitrageurs. Profitability from exploiting the quotes is negatively related to execution delay and execution risk. Copyright 2001 by MIT Press.

Date: 2001
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