Conservative Politicians and Voting on Same‐sex Marriage

Björn Kauder and Niklas Potrafke

German Economic Review, 2019, vol. 20, issue 4, e600-e617

Abstract: We examine whether conservative politicians are less likely to support same‐sex marriage when they run for office in safe rather than in contested districts using new data based on a roll‐call vote in the national German parliament. The results show that the margin of the majority for the incumbent in the previous election was a strong predictor for supporting same‐sex marriage. When the majority increased by a 1 percentage point, the likelihood of voting in favour of same‐sex marriage decreased by around 1.3 percentage points. We conjecture that politicians are election‐motivated – even when submitting roll‐call votes on a matter of conscience.

Date: 2019
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https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12183

Related works:
Journal Article: Conservative Politicians and Voting on Same-sex Marriage (2019)
Working Paper: Conservative Politicians and Voting on Same-sex Marriage (2019)
Working Paper: Conservative Politicians and Voting on Same-Sex Marriage (2017)
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