Giving and receiving: Exploring the predictive causality between oil prices and exchange rates
Jose E. Gomez‐Gonzalez,
Jorge Hirs‐Garzon and
Jorge Uribe ()
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Jorge Hirs-Garzon () and
Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez ()
International Finance, 2020, vol. 23, issue 1, 175-194
We study the dynamic connectedness and predictive causality between oil prices and exchange rates. Our sample includes six important oil‐producing and six net importing countries. Our results show that for the first set of countries, oil prices are net spillover receivers from exchange rate markets. Similarly, there is evidence of bidirectional Granger causality, which is detected for longer time periods from these countries’ exchange rates to oil prices. In contrast, for the second set of countries, oil prices are net spillover transmitters, and the causality is stronger from oil prices to exchange rates, mainly in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. However, even for this group of countries, there are long periods of time for which exchange‐rate markets transmit spillovers to oil markets. Overall, oil markets are net receivers of shocks during most of the sample period, thus providing evidence in favor of the oil‐financialization hypothesis.
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:intfin:v:23:y:2020:i:1:p:175-194
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=1367-0271
Access Statistics for this article
International Finance is currently edited by Benn Steil
More articles in International Finance from Wiley Blackwell
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().