The Impact of Recession on the Prediction of Corporate Failure
Frederick M. Richardson,
Gregory D. Kane and
Patricia Lobingier
Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 1998, vol. 25, issue 1‐2, 167-186
Abstract:
In this paper, we hypothesize that recessionary business cycles can contribute to corporate failure. Specifically, we test for a relationship between failure and (1) knowledge that failure occurred during a recession and (2) knowledge that the predictor variables were measured during a recession. We are able to show that accounting‐based logistic regression models used to predict corporate failure are sensitive to the occurrence of a recession. Furthermore, our results indicate that such models are sensitive to knowledge that the predictor variables were generated during a recession and to knowledge that failure ultimately occurred during a recession.
Date: 1998
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https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5957.00182
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:25:y:1998:i:1-2:p:167-186
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