Measuring the Impact of Corporate Investment Announcements on Share Prices: The Spanish Experience

Esther B. Del Brio, Javier Perote and Julio Pindado

Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 2003, vol. 30, issue 5‐6, 715-747

Abstract: We bring together three disparate strands of literature to develop a comprehensive empirical framework to examine the efficiency of security analysts' earnings forecasts in Singapore. We focus specifically on how the increased uncertainty and the negative market sentiment during the period of the Asian crisis affected the quality of earnings forecasts. While we find no evidence of inefficiencies in the pre‐crisis period, our results suggest that after the onset of the crisis, analysts (1) issued forecasts that were systematically upward biased; (2) did not fully incorporate the (negative) earnings‐related news; and (3) predicted earnings changes which proved too extreme.

Date: 2003
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