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Information Uncertainty and Post‐Earnings‐Announcement‐Drift

Jennifer Francis, Ryan Lafond, Per Olsson and Katherine Schipper

Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 2007, vol. 34, issue 3‐4, 403-433

Abstract: Abstract: We examine whether rational investor responses to information uncertainty (IU) explain properties of and returns to the post‐earnings‐announcement‐drift (PEAD) trading anomaly. Consistent with a rational learning explanation, we find that: (1) unexpected earnings (UE) signals that are characterized as having greater IU have more muted initial market reactions; (2) extreme UE portfolios are characterized by securities with higher IU than non‐extreme UE portfolios; and (3) within the extreme UE portfolios, high IU securities are more prevalent and earn larger abnormal returns than low IU securities. Further tests show that prior evidence of greater PEAD profitability for higher idiosyncratic volatility securities is explained by the greater information uncertainty associated with these securities.

Date: 2007
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2007.02030.x

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Journal of Business Finance & Accounting is currently edited by P. F. Pope, A. W. Stark and M. Walker

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