Measuring Word of Mouth's Impact on Theatrical Movie Admissions

Charles Moul

Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 2007, vol. 16, issue 4, 859-892

Abstract: Information transmission among consumers (i.e., word of mouth) has received little empirical examination. I offer a technique that can identify and measure the impact of word of mouth, and apply it to data from U.S. theatrical movie admissions. While variables and movie fixed effects comprise the bulk of observed variation, the variance attributable to word of mouth is statistically significant. Results indicate approximately 10% of the variation in consumer expectations of movies can be directly or indirectly attributed to information transmission. Information appears to affect consumer behavior quickly, with the length of a movie's run mattering more than the number of prior admissions.

Date: 2007
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