The Structure of Spot Rates and Immunization
Edwin J Elton,
Martin J Gruber and
Roni Michaely
Journal of Finance, 1990, vol. 45, issue 2, 629-42
Abstract:
Empirical studies of the modern theories of bond pricing typically choose proxies for the state variables in a rather arbitrary fashion. This paper empirically analyzes the question of the optimal spot rates to use as state variables. The authors' findings indicate that the four-year spot rate serves as the best proxy in the one-state-variable model. In the case of the two-state-variables model, the six-year rate and eight-month rate are identified as best. Tests of the out-of-sample prediction ability indicate that their model is superior to F. R. Macaulay's duration model and alternative proxies for state variables. Copyright 1990 by American Finance Association.
Date: 1990
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:45:y:1990:i:2:p:629-42
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