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The Business Cycle, Investor Sentiment, and Costly External Finance

R. David McLean and Mengxin Zhao

Journal of Finance, 2014, vol. 69, issue 3, 1377-1409

Abstract: type="main">

The recent financial crisis shows that financial markets can impact the real economy. We investigate whether access to finance typically time-varies and, if so, what are the real effects. Consistent with time-varying external finance costs, both investment and employment are less sensitive to Tobin's q and more sensitive to cash flow during recessions and low investor sentiment periods. Share issuance plays a bigger role than debt issuance in causing these effects. Alternative tests that do not rely on q and cash flow sensitivities suggest that recessions and low sentiment increase external finance costs, thereby limiting investment and employment.

Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (136)

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